OpenScientist deep-research batch: 10 open hypotheses (2026-07-06)
Provenance note for a batch of OpenScientist deep-research runs launched against
ten genuinely open mechanistic hypotheses in the knowledge base. Outputs land
under kb/hypotheses/<Disease>/<hypothesis_group_id>/openscientist.md (plus the
.citations.md sidecar), produced by:
uv run python scripts/hypothesis_deep_research.py run openscientist <Disease> <hypothesis_group_id>
Selection method
The candidate pool was the 103 disease-level mechanistic_hypotheses that carried
no existing OpenScientist run, enumerated with:
uv run python scripts/hypothesis_deep_research.py list --missing-provider openscientist
From that pool the batch deliberately favours hypotheses where the mechanism is
still contested — ALTERNATIVE and EMERGING status entries, and competing
origin models — because an adversarial multi-source synthesis adds the most value
where the literature has not converged. Canonical, well-settled mechanisms were
deprioritised. The ten span neurodegeneration, pulmonary fibrosis, post-viral
illness, dysautonomia, psychiatry, reproductive endocrinology, immunology, and
oncology so the batch is not concentrated in one subsystem.
The ten selected hypotheses
| # | Disease | Hypothesis group | Status | Why it is worth investigating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parkinson's Disease | body_first_enteric_alpha_synuclein_model |
ALTERNATIVE | The "body-first" (gut/vagal) vs "brain-first" origin debate is a live, high-stakes question in PD pathogenesis. |
| 2 | Parkinson's Disease | brain_first_central_alpha_synuclein_model |
ALTERNATIVE | Paired counterpart to #1; running both sides lets OpenScientist adjudicate the competing origin models. |
| 3 | Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis | senescence_first_model |
ALTERNATIVE | Senescence-first vs injury-centric origin of fibrosis is unresolved and therapeutically consequential (senolytics). |
| 4 | Long COVID | herpesvirus_reactivation_model |
EMERGING | EBV/herpesvirus reactivation as a driver of post-acute sequelae is topical and genuinely open. |
| 5 | Postural Orthostatic Tachycardia Syndrome | neuropathic_denervation_model |
ALTERNATIVE | POTS has multiple competing subtype mechanisms; the neuropathic/autoimmune-denervation arm needs a rigorous evidence audit. |
| 6 | Schizophrenia | complement_synaptic_pruning_hypothesis |
EMERGING | C4/complement-mediated excess synaptic pruning is a major emerging hypothesis with mixed human evidence. |
| 7 | Alzheimer's Disease | ev_mediated_tau_propagation_model |
EMERGING | Extracellular-vesicle-mediated tau spread is an emerging propagation mechanism distinct from canonical trans-synaptic seeding. |
| 8 | Polycystic Ovary Syndrome | neuroendocrine_lh_first_model |
ALTERNATIVE | The neuroendocrine (GnRH/LH-first) vs insulin-first origin debate is central to PCOS pathophysiology. |
| 9 | IgG4-Related Disease | innate_first_bystander_model |
ALTERNATIVE | Whether IgG4-RD is innate-driven with IgG4 as a bystander, or antibody-driven, remains an open immunopathogenesis question. |
| 10 | Gorlin Syndrome | gli_bypass_resistance_model |
EMERGING | SMO-independent GLI activation as a Hedgehog-inhibitor resistance mechanism is an emerging precision-oncology question. |
Verification discipline
OpenScientist is a deep-research provider and its outputs are leads, not ground
truth (see the DR-verification and NEC sections of CLAUDE.md). Before any
snippet, PMID, or ontology term from these reports is promoted into a
kb/disorders/ or kb/modules/ entry, it must pass the standard anti-hallucination
workflow: just fetch-reference for each PMID, snippet-substring verification against
the cached abstract, and just validate-terms-file. This batch only generates the
research; promotion into curated YAML is a separate, verified step.