A

Disease A

Slug:Respiratory_Syncytial_Virus_Infection
B

Disease B

Slug:Heart_Failure
G

Causal Mechanism Graphs

Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection

graph LR
    Respiratory_Epithelial_Infection_and_Airway_Inflammation["Respiratory Epithelial Infection and Airway Inflammation"]
    Nirsevimab["Nirsevimab"]

    Nirsevimab --> Respiratory_Epithelial_Infection_and_Airway_Inflammation

    style Respiratory_Epithelial_Infection_and_Airway_Inflammation fill:#dbeafe
    style Nirsevimab fill:#fce7f3

Heart Failure

graph LR
    CircAdapt_virtual_pacing_CRT_response_twin["CircAdapt virtual-pacing CRT response twin"]
    Tissue_Glucocorticoid_Amplification_by_11beta_HSD1["Tissue Glucocorticoid Amplification by 11beta-HSD1"]
    SGLT2_Inhibitors["SGLT2 Inhibitors"]
    Orthopnea["Orthopnea"]
    Peripheral_Edema["Peripheral Edema"]
    Postmenopausal_Oestrogen_Withdrawal["Postmenopausal Oestrogen Withdrawal"]
    ARNI_Sacubitril_Valsartan["ARNI (Sacubitril/Valsartan)"]
    CircAdapt_par_75_imaging_based_left_ventricular_digital_twin["CircAdapt par-75 imaging-based left-ventricular digital twin"]
    Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction["Myocardial Contractile Dysfunction"]
    BNP_NT_proBNP["BNP/NT-proBNP"]
    Coronary_Artery_Disease["Coronary Artery Disease"]
    Cardiac_Resynchronization_Therapy["Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy"]
    Lipoproteina_Driven_Coronary_Microvascular_Dysfunction["Lipoprotein(a)-Driven Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction"]
    Alcohol_Abuse["Alcohol Abuse"]
    Hypertension["Hypertension"]
    Neurohormonal_Activation["Neurohormonal Activation"]
    Loss_of_Myocardial_Oestrogen_Receptor_Signalling["Loss of Myocardial Oestrogen Receptor Signalling"]
    Troponin["Troponin"]
    Mineralocorticoid_Receptor_Antagonists["Mineralocorticoid Receptor Antagonists"]
    Dyspnea["Dyspnea"]
    Fatigue["Fatigue"]
    Cardiomegaly["Cardiomegaly"]
    Fluid_Retention["Fluid Retention"]
    Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors["Endocrine Convergence on Shared Profibrotic Effectors"]
    Exercise_Intolerance["Exercise Intolerance"]
    Beta_Blockers["Beta Blockers"]
    ACE_Inhibitors_ARBs["ACE Inhibitors/ARBs"]
    Ventricular_Remodeling["Ventricular Remodeling"]
    Diuretics["Diuretics"]

    Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction --> Neurohormonal_Activation
    Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction --> Exercise_Intolerance
    Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction --> Fatigue
    Neurohormonal_Activation --> Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors
    Neurohormonal_Activation --> Ventricular_Remodeling
    Neurohormonal_Activation --> Fluid_Retention
    Ventricular_Remodeling --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    Fluid_Retention --> Dyspnea
    Fluid_Retention --> Orthopnea
    Fluid_Retention --> Peripheral_Edema
    Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors --> Ventricular_Remodeling
    Tissue_Glucocorticoid_Amplification_by_11beta_HSD1 --> Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors
    Postmenopausal_Oestrogen_Withdrawal --> Loss_of_Myocardial_Oestrogen_Receptor_Signalling
    Postmenopausal_Oestrogen_Withdrawal --> Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors
    Loss_of_Myocardial_Oestrogen_Receptor_Signalling --> Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors
    Lipoproteina_Driven_Coronary_Microvascular_Dysfunction --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    Hypertension --> Ventricular_Remodeling
    Coronary_Artery_Disease --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    Alcohol_Abuse --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    ACE_Inhibitors_ARBs --> Neurohormonal_Activation
    Beta_Blockers --> Neurohormonal_Activation
    Beta_Blockers --> Ventricular_Remodeling
    ARNI_Sacubitril_Valsartan --> Neurohormonal_Activation
    SGLT2_Inhibitors --> Fluid_Retention
    Mineralocorticoid_Receptor_Antagonists --> Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors
    Diuretics --> Fluid_Retention
    Cardiac_Resynchronization_Therapy --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    CircAdapt_par_75_imaging_based_left_ventricular_digital_twin --> Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction
    CircAdapt_virtual_pacing_CRT_response_twin --> Ventricular_Remodeling
    Neurohormonal_Activation -.-> BNP_NT_proBNP
    Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction -.-> Troponin
    Ventricular_Remodeling -.-> Cardiomegaly

    style CircAdapt_virtual_pacing_CRT_response_twin fill:#ecfccb
    style Tissue_Glucocorticoid_Amplification_by_11beta_HSD1 fill:#dbeafe
    style SGLT2_Inhibitors fill:#fce7f3
    style Orthopnea fill:#fef3c7
    style Peripheral_Edema fill:#fef3c7
    style Postmenopausal_Oestrogen_Withdrawal fill:#dbeafe
    style ARNI_Sacubitril_Valsartan fill:#fce7f3
    style CircAdapt_par_75_imaging_based_left_ventricular_digital_twin fill:#ecfccb
    style Myocardial_Contractile_Dysfunction fill:#dbeafe
    style BNP_NT_proBNP fill:#e0e7ff
    style Coronary_Artery_Disease fill:#dcfce7
    style Cardiac_Resynchronization_Therapy fill:#fce7f3
    style Lipoproteina_Driven_Coronary_Microvascular_Dysfunction fill:#dbeafe
    style Alcohol_Abuse fill:#dcfce7
    style Hypertension fill:#dcfce7
    style Neurohormonal_Activation fill:#dbeafe
    style Loss_of_Myocardial_Oestrogen_Receptor_Signalling fill:#dbeafe
    style Troponin fill:#e0e7ff
    style Mineralocorticoid_Receptor_Antagonists fill:#fce7f3
    style Dyspnea fill:#fef3c7
    style Fatigue fill:#fef3c7
    style Cardiomegaly fill:#fef3c7
    style Fluid_Retention fill:#dbeafe
    style Endocrine_Convergence_on_Shared_Profibrotic_Effectors fill:#dbeafe
    style Exercise_Intolerance fill:#fef3c7
    style Beta_Blockers fill:#fce7f3
    style ACE_Inhibitors_ARBs fill:#fce7f3
    style Ventricular_Remodeling fill:#dbeafe
    style Diuretics fill:#fce7f3
S

Association Signals

Signal 1
LITERATURE EHR_COHORT_ASSOCIATION A_BEFORE_B
Population:Retrospective matched cohort of adults aged >=65 hospitalized with RSV vs influenza, urinary tract infection, or fracture comparators, Ontario, Canada, 2011-2020; cardiovascular outcomes to 1 year post-discharge.
Temporal: A before B: , B before A: , Same time:
HR:
CI: -
p:
FDR:
Adjusted hazard-ratio range 1.48-3.74 for subsequent heart failure in RSV-hospitalized patients relative to each comparator group, in patients with or without pre-existing cardiovascular conditions.
PMID:40696870 (SUPPORT)
Source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
"RSV hospitalization was associated with a greater rate of subsequent heart failure events relative to all other patient groups (HR range, 1.48-3.74), both in patients with or without pre-existing cardiovascular conditions."
Matched cohort shows RSV hospitalization is associated with a higher rate of subsequent heart failure across all comparator groups.
H

Hypotheses

Acute RSV infection imposes systemic inflammatory and cardiopulmonary stress (hypoxemia, increased cardiac workload, a procoagulant/inflammatory milieu) that can precipitate incident or worsening heart failure, particularly in older adults, analogous to the post-influenza cardiovascular trigger.
PMID:40696870 (SUPPORT)
Source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
"Our findings suggest that RSV is an important determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular outcomes in older adults."
Supports RSV as a determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular outcomes, including heart failure, in older adults.
Pathophysiology:
Infection-associated cardiopulmonary stress: RSV-driven systemic inflammation and respiratory compromise increase cardiac demand and can precipitate heart failure.
Biological processes:
inflammatory response Gene Ontology (GO) Relation: this pathophysiological event involves this biological process This pathophysiological event involves inflammatory response (GO:0006954). GO:0006954 is a biological process from the Gene Ontology.
PMID:40696870 (SUPPORT)
Source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
"Our findings suggest that RSV is an important determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular outcomes in older adults."
Supports a link from RSV infection to subsequent serious cardiovascular outcomes.
Y

Raw YAML

Show YAML
name: com_Respiratory_Syncytial_Virus_Infection__Heart_Failure
creation_date: "2026-06-25T12:00:00Z"
curation_status: CURATED
notes: >-
  Directional trajectory: RSV hospitalization in older adults is associated with
  subsequent cardiovascular events, including heart failure, in the year after
  infection. The Intercept essay cited a ~1.3x heart-failure risk; the best
  verifiable primary source (Verschoor 2025, JAGS) reports a substantially
  LARGER and adjusted effect (HR range 1.48-3.74 across comparator groups), so
  this entry is curated to the verified source rather than the blog figure.
  Notably the same Ontario group (Kwong et al.) also reported RSV as a trigger
  of acute MI (incidence ratio 3.51) in the influenza-MI study.

disease_a:
  slug: Respiratory_Syncytial_Virus_Infection

disease_b:
  slug: Heart_Failure

directionality: A_BEFORE_B

association_signals:
- source: LITERATURE
  method: EHR_COHORT_ASSOCIATION
  population: >-
    Retrospective matched cohort of adults aged >=65 hospitalized with RSV vs
    influenza, urinary tract infection, or fracture comparators, Ontario,
    Canada, 2011-2020; cardiovascular outcomes to 1 year post-discharge.
  directionality: A_BEFORE_B
  statistics:
    metrics:
    - metric_type: HR
      notes: >-
        Adjusted hazard-ratio range 1.48-3.74 for subsequent heart failure in
        RSV-hospitalized patients relative to each comparator group, in patients
        with or without pre-existing cardiovascular conditions.
    evidence:
    - reference: PMID:40696870
      reference_title: "Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Related Hospitalization and Increased Rate of Cardiovascular Events in Older Adults."
      supports: SUPPORT
      evidence_source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
      snippet: "RSV hospitalization was associated with a greater rate of subsequent heart failure events relative to all other patient groups (HR range, 1.48-3.74), both in patients with or without pre-existing cardiovascular conditions."
      explanation: >-
        Matched cohort shows RSV hospitalization is associated with a higher
        rate of subsequent heart failure across all comparator groups.

hypotheses:
- description: >-
    Acute RSV infection imposes systemic inflammatory and cardiopulmonary stress
    (hypoxemia, increased cardiac workload, a procoagulant/inflammatory milieu)
    that can precipitate incident or worsening heart failure, particularly in
    older adults, analogous to the post-influenza cardiovascular trigger.
  evidence:
  - reference: PMID:40696870
    reference_title: "Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Related Hospitalization and Increased Rate of Cardiovascular Events in Older Adults."
    supports: SUPPORT
    evidence_source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
    snippet: "Our findings suggest that RSV is an important determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular outcomes in older adults."
    explanation: >-
      Supports RSV as a determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular
      outcomes, including heart failure, in older adults.
  pathophysiology:
  - name: Infection-associated cardiopulmonary stress
    description: >-
      RSV-driven systemic inflammation and respiratory compromise increase
      cardiac demand and can precipitate heart failure.
    biological_processes:
    - preferred_term: inflammatory response
      term:
        id: GO:0006954
        label: inflammatory response
    evidence:
    - reference: PMID:40696870
      reference_title: "Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Related Hospitalization and Increased Rate of Cardiovascular Events in Older Adults."
      supports: SUPPORT
      evidence_source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
      snippet: "Our findings suggest that RSV is an important determinant of serious post-discharge cardiovascular outcomes in older adults."
      explanation: Supports a link from RSV infection to subsequent serious cardiovascular outcomes.
Source:GitHub