A

Disease A

Slug:Obesity
B

Disease B

Slug:Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea
G

Causal Mechanism Graphs

Obesity

graph LR
    Lifestyle_Modification["Lifestyle Modification"]
    Pasteurized_Akkermansia_muciniphila_MucT_Supplementation["Pasteurized Akkermansia muciniphila MucT Supplementation"]
    High_Calorie_Diet["High-Calorie Diet"]
    LEP["LEP"]
    MC4R["MC4R"]
    Energy_Imbalance["Energy Imbalance"]
    POMC["POMC"]
    Obesogenic_Environment["Obesogenic Environment"]
    Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain["Post-Weight-Loss Weight Regain"]
    Increased_Body_Mass_Index["Increased Body Mass Index"]
    Intestinal_Barrier_Dysfunction_and_Metabolic_Endotoxemia["Intestinal Barrier Dysfunction and Metabolic Endotoxemia"]
    LEPR["LEPR"]
    GLP_1_GIP_Dual_Agonists["GLP-1/GIP Dual Agonists"]
    Chronic_Low_Grade_Inflammation["Chronic Low-Grade Inflammation"]
    Depletion_of_Mucosal_Symbiont_Akkermansia_muciniphila["Depletion of Mucosal Symbiont Akkermansia muciniphila"]
    GLP_1_Receptor_Agonists["GLP-1 Receptor Agonists"]
    Orlistat["Orlistat"]
    Hypothalamic_Dysregulation["Hypothalamic Dysregulation"]
    Bariatric_Surgery["Bariatric Surgery"]
    Efficient_Intestinal_Energy_Harvest["Efficient Intestinal Energy Harvest"]
    Naltrexone_Bupropion["Naltrexone-Bupropion"]

    Depletion_of_Mucosal_Symbiont_Akkermansia_muciniphila --> Intestinal_Barrier_Dysfunction_and_Metabolic_Endotoxemia
    Intestinal_Barrier_Dysfunction_and_Metabolic_Endotoxemia --> Chronic_Low_Grade_Inflammation
    Efficient_Intestinal_Energy_Harvest --> Energy_Imbalance
    Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain --> Increased_Body_Mass_Index
    High_Calorie_Diet --> Energy_Imbalance
    Obesogenic_Environment --> Increased_Body_Mass_Index
    Lifestyle_Modification --> Energy_Imbalance
    GLP_1_Receptor_Agonists --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    GLP_1_Receptor_Agonists --> Energy_Imbalance
    GLP_1_Receptor_Agonists --> Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain
    GLP_1_GIP_Dual_Agonists --> Energy_Imbalance
    GLP_1_GIP_Dual_Agonists --> Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain
    Bariatric_Surgery --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    Bariatric_Surgery --> Energy_Imbalance
    Orlistat --> Efficient_Intestinal_Energy_Harvest
    Orlistat --> Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain
    Naltrexone_Bupropion --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    Pasteurized_Akkermansia_muciniphila_MucT_Supplementation --> Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain
    Pasteurized_Akkermansia_muciniphila_MucT_Supplementation --> Efficient_Intestinal_Energy_Harvest
    Pasteurized_Akkermansia_muciniphila_MucT_Supplementation --> Intestinal_Barrier_Dysfunction_and_Metabolic_Endotoxemia
    MC4R --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    LEP --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    LEPR --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation
    POMC --> Hypothalamic_Dysregulation

    style Lifestyle_Modification fill:#fce7f3
    style Pasteurized_Akkermansia_muciniphila_MucT_Supplementation fill:#fce7f3
    style High_Calorie_Diet fill:#dcfce7
    style LEP fill:#f3e8ff
    style MC4R fill:#f3e8ff
    style Energy_Imbalance fill:#dbeafe
    style POMC fill:#f3e8ff
    style Obesogenic_Environment fill:#dcfce7
    style Post_Weight_Loss_Weight_Regain fill:#dbeafe
    style Increased_Body_Mass_Index fill:#fef3c7
    style Intestinal_Barrier_Dysfunction_and_Metabolic_Endotoxemia fill:#dbeafe
    style LEPR fill:#f3e8ff
    style GLP_1_GIP_Dual_Agonists fill:#fce7f3
    style Chronic_Low_Grade_Inflammation fill:#dbeafe
    style Depletion_of_Mucosal_Symbiont_Akkermansia_muciniphila fill:#dbeafe
    style GLP_1_Receptor_Agonists fill:#fce7f3
    style Orlistat fill:#fce7f3
    style Hypothalamic_Dysregulation fill:#dbeafe
    style Bariatric_Surgery fill:#fce7f3
    style Efficient_Intestinal_Energy_Harvest fill:#dbeafe
    style Naltrexone_Bupropion fill:#fce7f3

Obstructive Sleep Apnea

graph LR
    Sleep_Fragmentation["Sleep Fragmentation"]
    MAPK_Cascade_Activation["MAPK Cascade Activation"]
    NLRP3_Inflammasome_Activation["NLRP3 Inflammasome Activation"]
    Ocular_Surface_Inflammation_and_Dry_Eye_Disease["Ocular Surface Inflammation and Dry Eye Disease"]
    CPAP["CPAP"]
    Non_Anatomic_Endotypic_Traits["Non-Anatomic Endotypic Traits"]
    Sympathetic_Overactivation["Sympathetic Overactivation"]
    Intermittent_Hypoxia["Intermittent Hypoxia"]
    Systemic_Inflammation["Systemic Inflammation"]
    TLR4_Upregulation["TLR4 Upregulation"]
    Upper_Airway_Collapse["Upper Airway Collapse"]
    MyD88_Dependent_NF_κB_Activation["MyD88-Dependent NF-κB Activation"]

    Upper_Airway_Collapse --> Sleep_Fragmentation
    Upper_Airway_Collapse --> Intermittent_Hypoxia
    Intermittent_Hypoxia --> TLR4_Upregulation
    Intermittent_Hypoxia --> Sympathetic_Overactivation
    Intermittent_Hypoxia --> Systemic_Inflammation
    Intermittent_Hypoxia --> Ocular_Surface_Inflammation_and_Dry_Eye_Disease
    TLR4_Upregulation --> MyD88_Dependent_NF_κB_Activation
    TLR4_Upregulation --> MAPK_Cascade_Activation
    MyD88_Dependent_NF_κB_Activation --> Systemic_Inflammation
    MyD88_Dependent_NF_κB_Activation --> NLRP3_Inflammasome_Activation
    MAPK_Cascade_Activation --> Systemic_Inflammation
    Sleep_Fragmentation --> Intermittent_Hypoxia
    Non_Anatomic_Endotypic_Traits --> Sleep_Fragmentation
    Non_Anatomic_Endotypic_Traits --> Upper_Airway_Collapse
    NLRP3_Inflammasome_Activation --> Systemic_Inflammation
    CPAP --> Sleep_Fragmentation
    CPAP --> Upper_Airway_Collapse

    style Sleep_Fragmentation fill:#dbeafe
    style MAPK_Cascade_Activation fill:#dbeafe
    style NLRP3_Inflammasome_Activation fill:#dbeafe
    style Ocular_Surface_Inflammation_and_Dry_Eye_Disease fill:#dbeafe
    style CPAP fill:#fce7f3
    style Non_Anatomic_Endotypic_Traits fill:#dbeafe
    style Sympathetic_Overactivation fill:#dbeafe
    style Intermittent_Hypoxia fill:#dbeafe
    style Systemic_Inflammation fill:#dbeafe
    style TLR4_Upregulation fill:#dbeafe
    style Upper_Airway_Collapse fill:#dbeafe
    style MyD88_Dependent_NF_κB_Activation fill:#dbeafe
S

Association Signals

Signal 1
LITERATURE LITERATURE_ASSOCIATION A_BEFORE_B
Population:Wisconsin Sleep Cohort: 690 randomly selected employed Wisconsin residents (mean age 46 at baseline, 56% male), evaluated twice at four-year intervals between July 1989 and January 2000.
Temporal: A before B: , B before A: , Same time:
OR: 6.0
CI: 2.2 - 17.0
p:
FDR:
Odds of developing moderate-to-severe sleep-disordered breathing (apnea-hypopnea index at or above 15 events per hour) per 10% weight gain, relative to stable weight. The wide interval is the small cohort, not a weak signal. Measured prospectively, so the exposure precedes the outcome by design rather than by assumption.
PMID:11122588 (SUPPORT)
Source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
"A 10% increase in weight predicted a 6-fold (95% CI, 2.2-17.0) increase in the odds of developing moderate-to-severe SDB"
States the effect size recorded in the metric above, in a cohort followed forward from a disease-free baseline.
H

Hypotheses

Increased adiposity, particularly upper-airway and visceral fat deposition, narrows the pharyngeal airway and increases its collapsibility during sleep; weight gain prospectively predicts worsening sleep-disordered breathing and weight loss predicts improvement, supporting obesity as a modifiable antecedent risk state for obstructive sleep apnea.
PMID:11122588 (SUPPORT)
Source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
"A 10% increase in weight predicted a 6-fold (95% CI, 2.2-17.0) increase in the odds of developing moderate-to-severe SDB"
Wisconsin Sleep Cohort, measured prospectively at 4-year intervals. The reciprocal finding -- 10% weight loss predicting a 26% AHI reduction -- is what makes this exposure modifiable rather than merely associated. Carried over unchanged from the original `Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea.yaml` `environmental:` entry.
Y

Raw YAML

Show YAML
name: com_Obesity__Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea
creation_date: "2026-08-19T00:00:00Z"
curation_status: CANDIDATE
notes: >-
  Split out of `kb/disorders/Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea.yaml`'s `environmental:`
  block (dismech#8551): that entry listed `Obesity` as an "exposure" acting on
  obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), but obesity is a first-class `Disease` entry
  in its own right (`kb/disorders/Obesity.yaml`), a body state rather than
  something external to the organism the patient is exposed to. Modeling the
  relationship as a disease-disease comorbidity avoids a near-tautological
  "exposure" edge that ECTO/XCO can never bind a term for. Directionality is
  A_BEFORE_B: weight gain is shown prospectively to precede and predict
  worsening sleep-disordered breathing, and weight loss predicts improvement,
  supporting obesity as a modifiable antecedent risk state for OSA. Evidence
  is carried over unchanged from the original `environmental:` entry rather
  than dropped. The reciprocal arm is deliberately not modeled: OSA also
  promotes weight gain through sleep fragmentation, daytime somnolence and
  leptin resistance, so the real relationship is bidirectional. A_BEFORE_B is
  recorded because the cited prospective cohort measures only the
  weight-to-SDB direction, and the weight-loss finding quoted below is that
  same direction inverted rather than the reverse arm. A B_BEFORE_A record
  would need its own source.

disease_a:
  slug: Obesity
  preferred_term: obesity disorder
  term:
    id: MONDO:0011122
    label: obesity disorder

disease_b:
  slug: Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea
  preferred_term: obstructive sleep apnea syndrome
  term:
    id: MONDO:0007147
    label: obstructive sleep apnea syndrome

directionality: A_BEFORE_B
effect_direction: RISK

hypotheses:
- description: >-
    Increased adiposity, particularly upper-airway and visceral fat
    deposition, narrows the pharyngeal airway and increases its
    collapsibility during sleep; weight gain prospectively predicts
    worsening sleep-disordered breathing and weight loss predicts
    improvement, supporting obesity as a modifiable antecedent risk state
    for obstructive sleep apnea.
  evidence:
  - reference: PMID:11122588
    reference_title: "Longitudinal study of moderate weight change and sleep-disordered breathing"
    supports: SUPPORT
    evidence_source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
    snippet: "A 10% increase in weight predicted a 6-fold (95% CI, 2.2-17.0) increase in the odds of developing moderate-to-severe SDB"
    explanation: >-
      Wisconsin Sleep Cohort, measured prospectively at 4-year intervals. The
      reciprocal finding -- 10% weight loss predicting a 26% AHI reduction --
      is what makes this exposure modifiable rather than merely associated.
      Carried over unchanged from the original
      `Obstructive_Sleep_Apnea.yaml` `environmental:` entry.

association_signals:
- source: LITERATURE
  method: LITERATURE_ASSOCIATION
  population: >-
    Wisconsin Sleep Cohort: 690 randomly selected employed Wisconsin residents
    (mean age 46 at baseline, 56% male), evaluated twice at four-year intervals
    between July 1989 and January 2000.
  directionality: A_BEFORE_B
  effect_direction: RISK
  statistics:
    metrics:
    - metric_type: OR
      metric_value: 6.0
      metric_ci_lower: 2.2
      metric_ci_upper: 17.0
      notes: >-
        Odds of developing moderate-to-severe sleep-disordered breathing
        (apnea-hypopnea index at or above 15 events per hour) per 10% weight
        gain, relative to stable weight. The wide interval is the small cohort,
        not a weak signal. Measured prospectively, so the exposure precedes the
        outcome by design rather than by assumption.
    evidence:
    - reference: PMID:11122588
      reference_title: "Longitudinal study of moderate weight change and sleep-disordered breathing"
      supports: SUPPORT
      evidence_source: HUMAN_CLINICAL
      snippet: "A 10% increase in weight predicted a 6-fold (95% CI, 2.2-17.0) increase in the odds of developing moderate-to-severe SDB"
      explanation: >-
        States the effect size recorded in the metric above, in a cohort
        followed forward from a disease-free baseline.
Source:GitHub